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CHARTS AND TESTIMONIALS
Lots of admin over the last couple of days, getting things in place for the end of financial year.
Gave me an excuse to take some time to put up the print and Venetian blinds. Should help with lighting and glare for videos etc! Hope you all have a good weekend, tune in Sunday for our weekly watchlist video!
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Killer moves seen on GBPJPY over the last couple of days, really threatening a fresh yearly high breakout, this would be seen following a breach and close above 142.200.
Cable popped higher and broke 1.37 on the H4 and has since retest support somewhat, staying clear from this pair until we break resistance (if we break resistance). We can then look to get involved following a correction/retest, to ensure we are following our rule set and trading practices.
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We spoke about this kind of take profit method in our coaching programme, whilst you forecast a 1:3R setup, we generally scale out at certain points along the way... This is for many reasons, we like to secure profit incase of a reversal, compounding small wins add up! We can also trial out stop-losses into profit once zones have been broken and retest, i.e, new S/R trading zones have formed.
Having rules in place for taking profit eliminates the need for making emotional based decisions, which can really leave you in a sticky and sometimes doubtful situation, become efficient and decisive, and this can be complimented by having pre-determined rule sets.
Eventually your position could break a key resistance zone (where you final TP target is)... You don't want to close the position completely... Instead, tighten your stoploss in the case of a resistance (or support) break, this would then offer a new S/R trading zone and potential for deeper profit.
SWIPE right to see an example of this from Mondays trading session, using GBPJPY.
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GBPJPY was an interesting one yesterday to start the week, managed to take a bit of profit on this trade setup after being stopped at entry price twice!
We covered this pair as a breakdown example for our first group coaching session yesterday evening, it led on nicely from our take profit strategy briefing. There is a video and post example which will follow over the next couple of days!
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DO YOU TRUST BITCOIN?
Don't get me wrong, I'm all for digital currency and all that jazz, it's not something I have really looked into in too much detail, lots of heresay, but the thing that put me off it the most is the drastic upside and downside moves, the fact that a handful of players/holders can dump and manipulate price when they decide a 25% drop seen in price today, that kind of volatility worries me!
It's great for those that bought sub $10k, don't get me wrong, that is brilliant, but the amount of clueless retail traders or even people jumping on the bitcoin marketing hype that get burned from such moves, buying rallies and panic closing losses. (like today I imagine). It just doesn't really interest me, for me I have to trade something I follow and understand, I don't follow the fundamentals of Bitcoin so much (I will aim to going forward), and the technicals.... Well all you have to do it look above, that tells me absolutely nothing... And that's the only data there is.
What do you all think about BTC, information would be gladly welcomed!
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Seems obvious... but is becoming less and less common as the industry becomes saturated with people providing misleading services...
But try and find somebody reputable, someone who has been around for a while, somebody that is in the position you desire to be in, in years to come. Having a mentor or community helps you hold yourself accountable... it helps with consistency, it helps with motivation etc.
Additionally, you will be able to fast track your education, recover from mistakes faster, save money and understand key principles faster, suffer from less stress and confusion, as youβll have someone guiding and pointing you in the right direction, telling you itβs all normal and advising you accordingly!
Something to consider!
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How relevant is this to us traders?! I was sent this by @businessnolimit, a great business in France providing motivational wall art! Check them out. The print and frame quality is incredible, really blown away with the quality!
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Interesting moves seen today across USD pairs and DXY. Failure to set fresh lows on the hourly timeframe today, USD strength seen off the back of Trumps comments below:
"Even though I totally disagree with the outcome of the election, and the facts bear me out, nevertheless there will be an orderly transition on January 20th. I have always said we would continue our fight to ensure that only legal votes were counted. While this represents the end of the greatest first term in presidential history, it's only the beginning of our fight to Make America Great Again!"
NFP tomorrow, alongside average earnings, unemployment etc, all big influences for the USD short term. We have marked what we think could be a short term USD reversal point on DXY, Iβm hoping for continued USD weakness (after tomorrowβs data has settled) and GBP upside extensions. Letβs see!
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Drawdown is one of the most important elements a potential investor would want to see, nobody wants to invest Β£100k into somebody that may only return Β£10k profit after 50% drawdown, the risk to reward isn't worth it! Drawdown under 10% is always a good baseline to aim for.
Drawdown is really important, it shows that the trader is in control, can manage their money, they're not revenge traders or high riskers and that their strategy is consistent and they have confidence in themselves and their trading ability.
Large drawdown often comes when traders lose control of their trading, they double down, increase their risk, enter multiple risk positions in order to recoup a loss. This then increases that high to low deficit which in turn increases drawdown if they're unsuccessful with the increased risk.
- Work on law of averages;
- Choose high probability setups;
- Ensure you're RR is 1:3 or greater;
- Understand how to scale out and take profits.;
- Understand how to scale in and play with profits;
- Avoid high impact risk & data;
- Trade only when you're in control.
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Latest employee has just finished his training, for any customer services or membership enquires, please contact Garfield@tradesimplefx.com.
Still very quiet for us in terms of markets and trading potential, seeing resumed USD weakness today finally, hopefully GBP can pick up and the Brexit positivity outweighs the CV19, which medium/long term definitely should. Cable back above 1.36 as USD slips and GBP picks up from yesterdayβs CV19 national lockdown selloff.
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Not really the start I expected for the start of the week, but this is exactly why we keep bashing on about market settlement, just as you do when markets open on a Sunday, you let the new week settle, see the necessary volume, and let the London morning have it's effect on the markets. Same principle applies to holidays and market shutdown. Just on a bigger scale! Following the markets with real caution for the first week, ease yourself in!
Big selloff on these GBP pairs, GBPJPY and GBPUSD shown above, in anticipation of a third national UK lockdown. Following similar suit to the Scotts! Riding the waves until we can see some clarity but most importantly alignment of risk headlines! TRADE WITH CAUTION!
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Focus on high reward to low risk setups rather than pip count and profit. Traders get too obsessed with trying to secure returns well above their capital potential. Funding is always a possibility, as long as you can trade profitably and consistently, you can get capital to trade with decent figures to get the returns you've always desired! First of all learn the skill, learn how to manage your money and learn when and when not to trade. You have to justify your trading ability to yourself before you justify it to a prop firm!
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Sunday, the day markets resume! Not going to put any pressure on this week, usually wait until the first week in January has passed before looking to trade myself. Throughout holidays we always still follow our trading zones, always looking for anomolies in technial zones, but more importantly following risk headlines and fundamentals. Always good to keep in the loop and engaged, even if you don't fancy trading. Saves having to catch on articles and headlines when you do come back to trading again.
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I'm sure you've all heard the news! Post Brexit trade deal secured full text to follow soon! Cable hasn't yet pushed fresh highs but we have seen an upside break of resistance on GBPJPY. Cable double topped at 1.36, but I'm sure most GBP pairs will continue to set fresh highs as we get back to usual trading volume in the new year! Hope everyone has a good xmas tomorrow!
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This is what I personally believe anyway. Generally the people with greater capital know how to trade over the people that dont. Either that or theyβre silly to risk lots of capital without understanding how to trade. When youβre a new trader, I get it... you want to trade lots, be active, put things into practice. But this can spiral out of control really quickly and negative trading habits may prevail.
Generally, those that have significant capital tend to trade less, trading less and reducing risk helps massively psychologically and contributes to stress free trading. But the significant capital still reaps significant reward, so trading less with less risk is absolutely worth it. This is where everyone should aspire to be.
New traders put too much stress on their small accounts expecting too much. Small accounts are for gaining experience and practice. Large accounts are from private investment, savings, prop firm funding or sometimes compounding.
Use your small accounts to learn from, make them last as long as possible, youβre not going to change your life with a Β£500 deposit; but by looking after that Β£500, learning as much as you can with it, not blowing the account, but learning a skill and consistency... can set you up for funding which CAN change your life!
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Our 12 week coaching programme spaces are nearly filled! 2 spaces left before we kick off! 12 weeks holding yourself accountable, 2 weeks to study our trading system, 8 weeks of group coaching calls, 3 calls a week, breaking down each video session by session. After the 10 weeks each member gets 3 free 1-2-1 sessions to fine tune anything they desire. Or simply run through their trading history/journal, or live trading! Looking forward to kicking this off! If this is something youβd like to hear more information on, shoot us a message! Hope everyone has a productive but restful Christmas and New Year!
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Here are some GBP structures leading into next week. GBPUSD support holding above 1.35 and same for GBPCHF sitting above 1.19. Big gains seen once again this week for the GBP following some Brexit optimism. Sitting on some key support zones now resistance has been broken. Pound pairs see-sawing off the back of each released headline. Nothing new, very tedious and Iβm sure itβll continue through to 31st December and then beyond going into 2021. Not a lot we can do as retail traders other than reduce risk, stick to your rule set. Sit out when in doubt and move to those pairs that are less affected by GBP market risk. Hope everyone has a good weekend!
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We should all be familiar with the term 'confluence', the more the merrier, right? Trading is all about money management, probability, confidence and psychology. Every element of trading ties in together, the more confluences you have, the more confidence you should have and the greater probability you should have taking a certain trade. A series of wins builds up your confidence, but a lack of money management can knock your confidence, it's like an emotional rollercoaster and can be quite taxing psychologically.
It's always best to start small, learn to mange your funds, understand your confluences and rule set and execute your trades in line with pre-determined rule sets, which prevents emotional decision making. Emotional decision making is where most costly mistakes are made. Limit your exposure, manage your money, look for high probability setups which compliment your rule set. Take the stress away from trading by keeping things low risk, enjoy the journey! If you don't enjoy it, you're not going to make it, swipe right for a handful of confluence and trading levels we look for before entering trades.
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Last trading day for us personally, the group activity will remain as it is, but more time will be focused on the new coaching programme we have for our members ready for 2021!
Few new things on the horizon to help take our traders strategy, consistency and trading confidence to the next level.
Hope everyone has a restful end to the year!
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This played out perfectly, big support zone on 1.61 which we found price back on towards the end of last week, following some consolidation, we broke out upside and retest the resistance price as support and held, before then taking off to set new highs, killer daily price candle too, perfect trade so far which has met out rule set perfectly. Hoping to grab multiple entries and positions on this pair if we can continue this higher high, higher low sequence!
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